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When will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?
Basic
13
Ṁ4802029
1.5%
By March 1st, 2025
10%
By April 1st, 2025
14%
It will not go below 38% before he leaves office.
30%
By June 1st, 2025
44%
By September 1st, 2025
69%
By January 1st, 2026
87%
By January 1st, 2029
Resolved
NOBefore he enters office
Resolved
NOBy February 1st, 2025
Trump's approval rating on the day he left office was 38.0%. This market will resolve YES to all options on or after the date that his approval rating dips below this number. If it does not go below this number before he leaves office (at any time, for any reason), all other options will resolve NO.
This will resolve based on the FiveThirtyEight tracker. If it stops functioning or is otherwise deemed unreliable/invalid by the market creator, another website's approval rating tracker will be substituted.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Resolved first two. Tracker is now live here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/
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