Will Trump's approval rate (Silver Bulletin) dip under 40% in 2025?
14
Ṁ297Dec 31
48%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.natesilver.net/i/156658365/the-topline-so-just-how-popular-is-trump
A single datapoint in the "Do Americans approve or disapprove of Donald Trump?" approval/disapproval chart dipping under 40.0% is enough to resolve YES. Otherwise resolves NO at the end of the year (GMT/UTC).
Resolves N/A if the Silver Bulletin a) ceases to exist b) ceases to publicly (free of charge) publish Trump's approval/disapproval or c) changes their algorithm in a way that significantly affects the aforementioned statistic, to the point that post-change statistics are not comparable to pre-change statistics (a blog post or similar detailing the changes has to be publicly posted).
I may bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Trump's approval rating increases by end of January 2026?
61% chance
Will Trump set a new record low approval rating this year? [Below 34.0% on Silver Bulletin]
5% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
71% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
2% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
9% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
2% chance
What will be President Donalds Trump approval rating on December 31st, 2025?
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
20% chance
If Donald Trump becomes the next president, what will his approval rating be a year after assuming office?
40% chance
Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
10% chance