If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
Plus
41
Ṁ51422026
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If he does not win or does not serve a full year in office for any reason, resolves N/A. Resolution source: 538 Job Approval average
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
@Balasar edit the closing date to be sometime after January 20th, 2026. Currently it's set to September 30th, 2024
Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration?
65% chance
Will Trump's approval rating fall below 40% in 2025?
37% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
12% chance
What will be President Donalds Trump approval rating on December 31st, 2025?
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
37% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
56% chance
If Donald Trump becomes the next president, what will his approval rating be a year after assuming office?
38% chance
Will Donald Trump’s approval rating be above 30 on April 1, 2025
97% chance
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
45% chance
Will Donald Trump’s approval rating at the end of his second term be at least as low as Joe Biden’s?
80% chance