In what year will human-level AI first exist? | Manifold

In what year will human-level AI first exist?

Basic

18

Ṁ1207

2201

2038

expected

1D

1W

1M

ALL

By human-level AI, I mean AI that could feasibly accomplish any task at least as well and at least as cheaply as human workers, unaided.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

To be clear, this includes tasks that would require a robotic body, like cooking and cleaning?

@jonsimon The robotic body that can do those things doesn't need to exist, but the AI needs to be good enough that if the robotic body did exist the AI would be able to pilot the body to do those things.

Related questions

In which year will a majority of AI researchers concur that a superintelligent, fairly general AI has been realized?

Will AI be smarter than any one human probably around the end of 2025?

Will a major AI company acknowledge the possibility of conscious AIs by 2026?

Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

In what year will there be an AI capable of passing a high-quality Turing test?

When (if ever) will AI cause human extinction?

In what year will we achieve AGI?

Before what year will AI take 50% of human jobs?

Related questions

In which year will a majority of AI researchers concur that a superintelligent, fairly general AI has been realized?

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Will AI be smarter than any one human probably around the end of 2025?

In what year will there be an AI capable of passing a high-quality Turing test?

Will a major AI company acknowledge the possibility of conscious AIs by 2026?

When (if ever) will AI cause human extinction?

Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?

In what year will we achieve AGI?

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Before what year will AI take 50% of human jobs?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules