Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040? | Manifold

Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040?

Plus

55

Ṁ2006

resolved Apr 21

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Does not resolve positively if Manifold offers additional things you can trade mana for - trades themselves have to involve USD or another currency.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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#Carson's Important Markets

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What about Sweepstakes?

bought Ṁ50 YES

@CarsonGale do prize point qualify if we get an USD exchange rate?

Yes for full USD exchange

Arbitrage, sort of:

Assuming Manifund doesn't count, why not? Is predicting charitable impact too narrow of a scope for it to count as a prediction market?

Does manifold have any CTFC connections?

CFTC

predictedNO

@xyz Not that I know of.

Would love to be wrong.

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Will Manifold introduce an AI-based feature that automatically resolves markets by 2030?

Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?

Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?

Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)

Will US real-money prediction markets create significantlty more shenanigans according to Manifold ?

Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

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