
Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)
Plus
23
Ṁ13622034
59%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
By "exist" I mean at a minimum the betting functionality of the site, with at least 5k users placing a bet in the span of the month prior.
(Per https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/08/technology/prediction-markets-manifold-manifest.html there are 43k users on the site as of Oct 2023)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
By March 15, 2025, will Manifold users still have the authority to resolve markets they have traded on?
98% chance
Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?
50% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be around by 2030?
94% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be active in 2030?
82% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be popular at the end of 2026?
70% chance
Will Manifold Markets be insolvent before 2030?
15% chance
Manifold Markets Will No Longer Exist in 2025.
3% chance
Will Manifold have a numerical market type by June 1, 2025?
81% chance
How many Manifold markets will close on January 1st, 2030?
Will any Manifold markets created in 2023 be resolved in 2050 by the original author?
81% chance