When will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize?
Basic
24
Ṁ85742027
1%
Before the end of Jan 2025
1%
Before the end of Feb 2025
5%
Before the end of Mar 2025
5%
Before the end of Apr 2025
6%
Before the end of May 2025
8%
Before the end of Jun 2025
66%
Before the end of Dec 2025
78%
Before the end of 2026
83%
Before the end of 2027
89%
Before the end of 2028
93%
Before the end of 2029
91%
Before the end of 2030
90%
Before US has the first female president
90%
Before Trump serves time in prison
90%
Before human land on mars
78%
Before human set foot on moon again
Resolution criteria same as this polymarket market, except the deadline is different here
https://polymarket.com/event/will-an-ai-win-the-5-million-ai-math-olympiad-prize-before-august
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2026?
20% chance
Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
91% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
44% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
94% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
48% chance
Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
90% chance
What will be the first year that an AI gets gold on an International Mathematical Olympiad?
When will an AI win the $5 million XTX AI Mathematical Olympiad Prize?
When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
11% chance