When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
Premium
60
Ṁ17k2046
2,027
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The description and resolution criteria correspond to those of the equivalent question on Metaculus: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6728/ai-wins-imo-gold-medal/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
69% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2025?
3% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
79% chance
When will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize?
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?
86% chance
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
80% chance
Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
40% chance
When would AI first get a gold medal or equivalent in IMO (International Mathematics Olympiad)
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2026?
84% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
68% chance