Who will be the next president of France?
➕
Plus
103
Ṁ20k
2028
22%
Marine Le Pen
14%
Édouard Philippe
14%
Gabriel Attal
14%
Other
7%
Jordan Bardella
6%
Francois Ruffin
5%
Michel Barnier
3%
Christine Lagarde
1.7%
Gérard Larcher
1.4%
Manon Aubry
1.3%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ20 YES

How does this question resolve if the next president of France does not take office in 2027?

@BrunoParga In such situation I will wait untill next French president takes office to resolve the question. (Eg. If a virus postpone the election untill 2028).

@AlexandreHelicoidee and before? Like, suppose Macron goes "hrnngh" tomorrow and dies of a heart attack over his desk at the Elysée. Does the question cover that?

I think I should have opened with this: the "in 2027“ part of the question adds ambiguity by prompting these questions. It seems to me the question is "who will be the next President of France", just that, isn't it so?

@BrunoParga Yup, badly formulated question, not confident in resolution.

@BrunoParga Hello, you are right : I should have used "Who will be the next president of France?". Thank you for spotting this mistake, I just updated the question.

But no problem if Macron dies or resigns before 2027 : there will be a new president of France in 2027 anyway.

@AlexandreHelicoidee merci, ça me semble plus logique ☺️

Et si Macron meure demain, peut-être le Président élu en '27 n'est pas le prochain 🤔

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules