Will the territorial unity of the Russian Federation fragment into two or more sovereign nations before 2026?
Plus
27
Ṁ12422026
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This prediction market question probes the potential fragmentation of the territorial unity of the current Russian Federation. The metric for validation is the recognition of two or more sovereign nations from this territory by the United Nations by the end of 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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1,000and
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