Will Bashkortostan secede from the Russian Federation before the end of 2028?
Plus
25
Ṁ20412028
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Also resolves as yes if Russian Federation ceases to exist.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the territorial unity of the Russian Federation fragment into two or more sovereign nations before 2026?
17% chance
Will the entirety of the currently designated Kaliningrad Oblast still be administered by Russia at the end of 2028?
82% chance
Will Belarus join Russia willingly before the end of 2027?
12% chance
Will Russia break up through 2025
2% chance
Will Russia completely annex Ukraine by end of 2025?
2% chance
Will a territory with over 1 million people cease to be part of Russia by 2025?
3% chance
Will any of the 21 republics of Russia secede from the Russian Federation before 2030
18% chance
Will a territory with over 10 million people cease to be part of Russia by 2025?
2% chance
Will Transnistria be annexed by Russia until EOY 2025?
10% chance
Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030
18% chance