How many spacecraft will successfully make it to Mars during the 2028-29 Hohmann Transfer window?
Plus
4
Ṁ5272029
1D
1W
1M
ALL
84%
1 or more
55%
2 or more
42%
3 or more
Mars must be final destination, no flybys. Must be working in some capacity upon arrival to Mars (can't blow up on the launch pad or fail to make it out of Earth orbit). It doesn't have to land successfully, just get to Mars, so orbiters count.
I will add more options if there are many missions planned closer to the transfer window date.
See http://www.clowder.net/hop/railroad/EMa.htm for more windows.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Wikipedia currently lists two planned:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exploration_of_Mars#Launch_windows
Related questions
Related questions
Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?
56% chance
Will SpaceX perform at least 144 successful orbital launches in the year 2024?
3% chance
How many launches will SpaceX successfully send to orbit in 2024?
Will at least one Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2026 launch window?
34% chance
Will there be any mission that makes it to Mars during the 2026-27 Hohmann transfer window?
59% chance
Will at least one crewed Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2028/2029 launch window?
22% chance
Will the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens?
30% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2028?
39% chance
How many objects will be launched into space in 2024?
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2040?
58% chance