Will any AI be able to explain formal language proofs to >=50% of IMO problems by the start of 2025?
➕
Plus
30
Ṁ8411
Jan 1
19%
chance

Meaning: take a formal language proof and write a natural language proof that is accepted by human judges as correct.

The AI in question does not need to produce the formal proof.

No restrictions on the formal language being used.

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@mods User is inactive, I think this can resolve NO.

@BrunoJ Sorry to be unhelpful here, but can you provide some evidence for this claim in a comment here and ping the mods again? I read the question title and comment section and I can't see anything that would tell me how to resolve it.

We should also give at least a day for @vluzko to respond

@Eliza Thanks for the response — I'm not sure how I could provide evidence for a claim that something doesn't exist. I think it should resolve NO in the absence of evidence for a YES resolution...

@BrunoJ if someone was able to say "look, a person tried this and it didn't work", I could resolve no. But if no one tried it, and no one knows if it would have worked, we could end up having an N/A instead. And the further away from 1 Jan we get, the harder it will be to figure out.

@BrunoJ @Eliza I'm not inactive. This market, like many of my other 2024 markets, is waiting on more information about o1 to resolve. It will very likely resolve NO.

@vluzko Good to hear!

bought Ṁ100 YES

Would be interested in 01 pro and DSv3 results on this. Is this market based off demonstrated abilities or will resolution wait for a test of top models and NA without such testing? I assume the latter?

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