Will a deepmind model be the first to succeed at the IMO Grand Challenge or the XTS AI-MO competition?
Basic
6
Ṁ1262040
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This resolves YES if the IMO grand challenge is completed first by a Deepmind team / model or wins the XTS AI-MO competition.
This market conditions on either of these being fulfilled by some team by 2040, if they are not this will resolve N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI be the first to succeed at the IMO Grand Challenge or the XTS AI-MO competition?
52% chance
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
28% chance
Will an AI which achieves IMO gold medal before 2026 use MCTS during test-time?
75% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
79% chance
What company or institution will win the XTX AIMO Prize?
Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2026?
67% chance
Will DeepMind researchers win a Fields Medal before 2030?
18% chance
Will there be 2 or more combinatorics problems on IMO 2025 x Will AI get a gold medal on IMO 2025?
Will an AI model achieve superhuman ELO on Codeforces by the 31 December 2025?
61% chance
When will an AI win the $5 million XTX AI Mathematical Olympiad Prize?