Will an AI model achieve superhuman ELO on Codeforces by the 31 December 2025?
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This market predicts whether any AI model will surpass the current best human competitor's ELO rating on Codeforces by the end of 2025. As of 31 December 2024, the current highest human ELO is 3985 and the current highest AI ELO is 2727 which was achieved by OpenAI's o3 model.
Resolution Criteria: Market resolves YES if any AI lab announces and verifies that their model has achieved a Codeforces ELO rating greater than 3985 by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, resolves NO.
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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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