Will the International Criminal Court issue an arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu by the end of May 2024?
Plus
108
Ṁ28kresolved Jun 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
https://www.justsecurity.org/95865/international-criminal-court-arrest-warrants-gaza/
Historically it takes months before the warrants are actually issued
@Calvin6b82 Previously, they have issued a warrant as quickly as 11 days from the time it was requested:
https://www.icc-cpi.int/sites/default/files/CourtRecords/CR2015_18211.PDF
7th sept -> 18th Sept 2015.
So it wouldn't be unprecedented - but still pretty unlikely.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Netanyahu remain Israel's PM until the end of 2024?
96% chance
Will any Israeli be charged with a war crime by the end of 2024?
39% chance
Will Netanyahu visit at least one nation that recognizes ICC jurisdiction by May 22nd, 2025?
60% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes?
27% chance
Will Netanyahu be convicted of a crime by end of 2024?
13% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu (Bibi) be the prime minister of Israel at the end of 2024
97% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu continue to lead Israel by the end of 2024?
93% chance
If the ICC brings charges against Netanyahu by 2026 (or doesn't), will any of its members announce withdrawal by 2030?
Will the ICC indict Netanyahu for war crimes before January 1st 2025?
97% chance
[ACX 2024] Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?
96% chance