Will the International Criminal Court issue an arrest warrant for an American politician by 2030?
Basic
6
Ṁ1052030
48%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
They can be a current or former politician, so long as the crimes they commited were done while in office.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
75% chance
Will the ICC prosecute a US citizen before 2035?
44% chance
Will any individual be taken into custody under the authority of an ICC arrest warrant before 2026?
31% chance
Will someone in the US be executed for child sex crimes by 2030?
24% chance
Will an Israeli military/political leader be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court before 2026?
87% chance
Will a US president order the assassination of any of the following, and get away without criminal charges before 2029?
Will a sitting or former US President be killed by 2030?
17% chance
Will any US President be removed from office via impeachment and conviction before 2100?
43% chance
Will Trump leave United States to avoid prosecution before 2030?
22% chance
Will the loser of the 2024 US Presidential election be arrested by 12/31/2025?
7% chance