🐲Will I Slay all 20 Top Creators by the end of 2024?
➕
Plus
118
Ṁ43k
Jan 1
61%
chance
1 slain
2 slain
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13 slain
BTE & FUH
Leaderboard Earthquake
Pivot announced
Leaderboard change again
14 slain
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Pivot
18 slain
19 slain

I started Manifold back in November, and became a top 100 creator on my 40th day. Recently I just breached the top 20 on my 100th day. Now that I'm finally at the endgame, will I be able to overtake all 20 of the current leaderboard creators by the end of the year, despite having way less mana and history? Tune in to find out!

EDIT: Top 3 on 180th day!

EDIT: #2 on 330th day!

See: /strutheo/how-many-top-creators-will-i-slay-b

Link: https://manifold.markets/leaderboards

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bought Ṁ250 YES

Arbitrage again

sold Ṁ137 YES

@ProjectVictory and again the other way around

2,383 to go. If each of the 68 YES holders just trades in 35 markets...

Is there a reason this just spiked?

bought Ṁ200 YES from 52% to 62%

@EBurk I believe in Chris.

@EBurk seeing as snazzle was being sherlock holmes below im gonna assume he knows something ...

bought Ṁ200 YES

@EBurk because he's totally gonna make it ;)

bought Ṁ250 YES

@Choms give myself at least a 66.666% chance, repeating of course

bought Ṁ750 YES

@strutheo Less than 3k to go!!!

Why did @BTE drop by 4k today? Must be a bug right?

@datachef looks like we all dropped. maybe they arent counting some type of question anymore

@snazzlePop they are my friends, not alts. I have an alt but haven’t used it for many months since before starting fresh with this account.

@BTE @datachef @algorithmovigilance @JimmyChipwood @BillyHersch

And bitch smells like obsessively farming traders for a dumb leaderboard.

@snazzlePop hahaha!! Desired affect achieved.

I'm trying to offset any markets of yours I bet on by going and betting on @BTE's markets as well.

bought Ṁ3,000 YES

@nikki haha what is this

probably a bug

reposted

19/20!!!!!

bought Ṁ100 YES from 60% to 64%
bought Ṁ250 NO

This is only possible since @BTE is banned and were he to be unbanned that would dramatically change the odds...

@datachef ftr i was catching up even when he was unbanned ;)

bought Ṁ100 NO from 64% to 57%

let's go, you can do it! 📈

bought Ṁ50 YES from 69% to 71%
bought Ṁ100 NO from 76% to 69%
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