🐣What will happen in April 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
Basic
20
Ṁ1318
May 1
99.6%
At least five XKCD comics where there are no stick figures at all
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive for the entire month
97%
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
96%
Bitcoin is $50K USD all month or higher
96%
at least one xkcd comic where there are no stick figures at all
96%
a tesla catches fire as confirmed by tesla-fire.com/mainstream news
95%
Trump tweets at least once
83%
at least 10 answers here resolve YES
80%
A Nintendo Direct takes place
69%
two teslas catch fire as reported by tesla-fire.com or other news
69%
The Detroit Pistons win multiple games.
69%
large tech company announces layoffs
69%
@ManifoldMarkets posts at least one April Fool on X (former: Twitter)
69%
FDA recalls a meat product
69%
At least one person in North America is hospitalized with bird flu
65%
The Detroit Pistons win a game.
59%
A YouTube video specifically about apes, apricots, approval, appraisal, illness, illusions, Illinois, or Ilfracombe is uploaded and gets >1M views
58%
It's the hottest April on record globally
58%
It's the hottest April on record in the US
50%
The Federal Reserve changes interest rates (up or down)

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