🐣What will happen in April 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
Basic
36
Ṁ2073
May 1
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive for the entire month
99%
A Nintendo Direct takes place
98.6%
Bitcoin is $50K USD all month or higher
97%
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
96%
at least one xkcd comic where there are no stick figures at all
96%
a tesla catches fire as confirmed by tesla-fire.com/mainstream news
95%
at least 10 answers here resolve YES
92%
two teslas catch fire as reported by tesla-fire.com or other news
92%
A new video game featuring Mario is announced
88%
At least five XKCD comics where there are no stick figures at all
85%
The Detroit Pistons win a game.
83%
A YouTube video specifically about apes, apricots, approval, appraisal, illness, illusions, Illinois, or Ilfracombe is uploaded and gets >1M views
80%
At least one person in North America is hospitalized with bird flu
69%
The Detroit Pistons win multiple games.
69%
large tech company announces layoffs
69%
@ManifoldMarkets posts at least one April Fool on X (former: Twitter)
69%
FDA recalls a meat product
58%
North Korea tests a rocket
58%
Hole in one during competitive play at Masters
50%
NFL, MLB, or NBA player arrested for DUI

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

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