🌼What will happen in May 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
Basic
114
Ṁ7326
Jun 1
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive for the entire month
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
99%
donald trump is alive for the entire month
98%
Matura exams in Poland
94%
A high school or college commencement speaker is protested by significant group of graduates, per reliable reporting
91%
a tesla catches fire as reported by mainstream news
80%
Starship Launch
78%
The S&P 500 closes the month higher than its month opening price
75%
50 or more EF2+ tornadoes in the continental US During May 2025.
59%
NFL, NBA, or MLB player arrested for DUI
43%
Joe Biden is alive for the entire month
37%
The Myanmar resistance forces will gain territory on the map on this page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Myanmar_civil_war_(2021%E2%80%93present)
35%
https://web3isgoinggreat.com/ has a post on the last day of the month
32%
MLB pitcher throws a no-hitter (excludes combined no-hitters)
30%
Toronto Blue Jays have a winning record at the end of the month
29%
At least three hurricanes or typhoons form anywhere on the planet
23%
The Oklahoma City Thunder lose a playoff series
23%
It is raining when the starting signal fires during the Kentucky Derby
15%
Ukraine Russia cease fire
14%
a successful coup occurs

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

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@strutheo Resolves NO

@strutheo a union of nearly 3,000 aerospace workers in Conneticut has been on strike nearly the whole month now.

https://apnews.com/article/pratt-whitney-strike-machinists-jet-engines-95ee9e2f9854f4b4dde24f2db1bb7bd1

@snazzlePop I think some of these were copied from last year's version, lol

@100Anonymous does it count?

@100Anonymous The topic and viewcount fit but not the upload date

nevertheless I am very confident that @MugaSofer will soon supply a huge list of valid entries like every other month haha

@TheAllMemeingEye Oops, my bad.

That's oddly specific 🤔

@RedzoneITG since you are almost always alive every day between birth and death, this is effectively equivalent to "will not die before May 5th", which isn''t that oddly specific

bought Ṁ72 YES

@strutheo This should resolve yes:

Francis ceases to be pope seems like it a no, not in May 2025.
But
"Francis is not pope" in May 2025 seems like it should be a clear yes.

NA'd. I am not sure I see why, but any reason is allowed.

@ChristopherRandles yeah I don't get why "Francis is not pope" resolved NA? Seems like a clear YES unless he comes back to life for the entirety of May.

bought Ṁ50 NO

@strutheo I'm going to guess no on this one

bought Ṁ10 NO

@ZaneMiller you never know, they might be resurrected! I think this shouldn't have resolved until May 1

(99% joking)

bought Ṁ30 NO

@TheAllMemeingEye Good market.

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bought Ṁ5 YES

@Quroe Thanks haha

What triggered the YES?

@Quroe oops did I misresolve

@strutheo Did you?

@MugaSofer Darn it! 😆 Good find.

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