What will happen to me in 2025? [Add Answers]
➕
Plus
48
Ṁ13k
Dec 31
88%
Being happy
85%
Getting a new job
82%
Doing drugs with my mother
79%
Reading 3 books
75%
Losing my mana streak
67%
Going on a holiday alone
66%
Getting a new house
66%
Finding money on the street
65%
Attending an Ayahuasca ceremony
60%
Having sex with 3 different people
59%
Stopping with therapy
59%
Getting drinks with my first ex-girlfriend
53%
Making a viral social media post
48%
Trying 3 new recreational drugs
45%
Attending a wedding
45%
Getting a new car
43%
Winning a prize/money/giveaway
41%
Learning a new language
41%
Having sex in a different country
41%
Starting a blog/substack/podcast

Follow up from last years edition (https://manifold.markets/TheWabiSabi/what-will-happen-to-me-in-2024-add)

I will be 100% honest on all questions asked below to help you make the right bet.

  • Update 2025-03-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Criteria Clarification:

    • The outcome must involve having sex with a Tinder match.

    • The encounter occurs in a new city, indicating a partner that is not an ex.

  • Update 2025-03-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Cumulative Requirement:

    • The outcome must include having sex with three different people,

    • This must occur on three separate occasions throughout 2025.

  • Update 2025-04-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the answer 'Deciding to get an abortion':

    • This outcome requires the creator's partner to be pregnant and the decision to get an abortion to be mutual between the creator and their partner.

  • Update 2025-05-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding newly added options:

    • To resolve YES, the event described by the option must occur:

    • In 2025.

    • After the specific option was added to the market.

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@TheWabiSabi first one: 4-AcO-MET (or Metacetin)

@TheWabiSabi check with a friend about a possible date to attend one. She is still in doubt, but I feel the one is too low right now.

bought Ṁ223 YES

@121 actually been a while but this pushed me :)

@TheWabiSabi onto nr 3. First time using my Kobo in 3 years.

bought Ṁ10 YES

Hey btw since there's a couple new options, can you clarify when they last happened and if you intend to? specifically regarding sex abroad, new blog/podcast, hospitalised, and eating potato chips?

ante toki 🔁:

toki 👋, nasin sin mute ✨ li lon ma ni la, sina ken ala ken toki e ni 🤔, ona li pini pi tenpo sin mute pi tenpo seme⌚, sina wile pali e ona 😋? sona pona 🚩 li sona pi unpa ma ante 🍆🌍✈️, li sona pi sitelin anu kalama pana sin 💻🎧, li sona pi tenpo pi tomo misikeke 🏥 , li sona pi moku pi kili ma seli 🍟?

@TheAllMemeingEye of course! Will share a extensive update on the new options and some old ones with maybe useful information.

The market is just surprising myself in so many ways xd

@TheAllMemeingEye tenpo pi tomo misikeke li suli ala kepeken toki pona tan seme

@CollinMatthews mi pakala, mi lukin ala e ona

Clarification: newly added option only resolve yes if they happen in 2025 after the options was added

@TheWabiSabi is this your decision to make? 🤔

@snazzlePop also wouldn't "getting" here mean that he is the one receiving it lol?

@snazzlePop the phrase "deciding to get an abortion" makes it sound like he is the one who is pregnant and thus getting the abortion

@TheAllMemeingEye Exactly.

Hence my question if whether it’s his decision to make.

@snazzlePop right my apologies I thought you were focusing on the "deciding" part like he had phrased it as him making the decision for her

@TheAllMemeingEye would be a mutual decision if she is pregnant. And we haven't spoken about it yet. (she is on a holiday now).

bought Ṁ10 YES

@TheWabiSabi had drink with another ex-girlfriend and was such a blast. Now wondering if I should reach out to my first girlfriend. We haven't spoken in 10 years.

@TheWabiSabi did you break up on good terms? Do you know if she is currently seeing someone else?

@TheWabiSabi we did first initially, but after some months I broke contact and that wasn't something she understood. I think she is still single and my little sister spoke to her a couple of times in the grocery store and the contact was friendly.

@TheWabiSabi Read 2 books so far!

@TheWabiSabi Maybe this needs to be higher as my current bed partner is 4 days late... Hope it's a false alarm

@TheWabiSabi @traders 5 days now...

@TheAllMemeingEye we may facked up somewhere.

@TheWabiSabi (copied from /Aella/will-my-friend-accidentally-get-pre )

I highly recommend you read this for future reference
You Probably Don’t Understand Contraceptive Pregnancy Rates | by Aaron Hamlin | Medium

tldr: you gotta layer multiple methods with absolutely perfect use to not have a really high chance of pregnancy

@TheAllMemeingEye very interesting! Didn't know a condom was 18% ineffective. Let's all pray for an anomaly.

@snazzlePop don't just jinx it!

@snazzlePop @TheAllMemeingEye still no 🩸update...

@snazzlePop to be totally honest, I have no clue of the status at this point. Seeing her tomorrow...

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