
README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:
1st event: 1% (happens soonest)
2nd event: 2% (happens next)
...
100th event: 100% (happens latest)
Any events that do not happen by EOY will be resolved 100% YES.
@strutheo
Madagascar? https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cd070pn4g07o
Not sure when this would resolve, does it have to succeed in removing president from power or some other threshold?
Madagascar President Andry Rajoelina said he has fled the country in fear for his life following a military rebellion but did not announce his resignation in a speech broadcast on social media late Monday from an undisclosed location.
https://apnews.com/article/madagascar-coup-rajoelina-soldiers-military-africa-b17e7f78a6b0d4abf82a4a19a7a77a05
Does fled country mean no longer in power?
@strutheo
Bitcoin reached 125k 6 Oct https://finance.yahoo.com/news/morning-minute-bitcoin-makes-smashing-131146460.html
Leif Erikson day 9 Oct and
Nobel peace price winner announced 10 Oct can resolve
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/
2nd atlantic hurricane Gabrielle has just formed
@strutheo Humberto is third Atlantic hurricane of season https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/
@strutheo
https://www.independent.co.uk/arts-entertainment/films/news/dune-3-denis-villeneuve-timothee-chalamet-release-date-b2785266.html
9 July 2025
Now got an "official title" and 18 Dec 2026 release date. Still think we will get a more official announcement?
@strutheo
https://www.gamespot.com/articles/skate-release-times-revealed-for-early-access-launch/1100-6534740/
Skate global release times
September 16
10 AM PT
The new Skate is a free-to-play, always-online game, supported by microtransactions. Because it's launching in early access, it's not the full experience or necessarily totally balanced. Full Circle said it will embrace fan feedback to shape the game going forward, and add things like new game modes, tricks, leaderboards, party voice chat, and other improvements over time.
Is this enough to resolve all your Skate 4 questions?
GPT-5 released Aug 7 can resolve at 46
SpaceX 100 launches 97 Falcon 9 3 Starship reach Aug 11th can resolve at 47
@strutheo
@strutheo 8.8 magnitude earthquake in Russia https://earthquaketrack.com/quakes/2025-07-29-23-24-50-utc-8-8-20
@strutheo
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDEP1+shtml/010310.shtml?
Hurricane Flossie is 3rd pacific hurricane June 30th
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/ep05/ep052025.public_a.007.shtml
600 AM CST Wed Jun 18 2025
...ERICK NOW A HURRICANE...
second pacific hurricane
@strutheo
Chime IPO June 12
https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/chime-set-long-awaited-market-debut-after-864-million-us-ipo-2025-06-12/
second pacific hurricane June 18th per above
28 years later June 20th
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spider-Man:_Beyond_the_Spider-Verse
release date was apparently announced in March 2025.
oops sorry missed that one