Will there be a daily death market for the day Jimmy Carter dies?
➕
Plus
18
Ṁ3883
Dec 31
96%
chance

Any market that exists the moment Jimmy Carter dies that narrows down Jimmy Carter's death to the particular day.

For example:

  • @JCDM's "Will Jimmy Carter be alive at the end of the day on X" (if created no earlier than 24 hours before X)

  • "Will Jimmy Carter die on March 30h, 2024?" (regardless of when created)

#Death markets
#Jimmy Carter
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Would this count?

https://manifold.markets/JCDM/which-days-will-jimmy-carter-be-ali-4536436c2556

sold Ṁ72 NO

@Mana Yeah

boughtṀ150NO

o.o has it become less likely, why? Something about the criteria's interpretation?

bought Ṁ100 YES from 80% to 82%

@ChameLeon Nah

now this is a good one cc @KeenenWatts

@strutheo

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