Will China have a model in the top 10 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena on March 1, 2025?
Basic
8
Ṁ316Mar 2
77%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If one of the models in the top ten of the overall chatbot leaderboard (LMSYS Chatbot Arena) is developed / owned by a Chinese company, then this will resolve to YES. Otherwise NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
What organization(s) will be ranked #1 in the LMSYS Org Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of December 2024?
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Will there be a model with a 69%+ Chatbot Arena win rate against gpt-o1 before June 1st, 2025?
47% chance
Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026?
20% chance
Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at any point in 2024? (resolves based on ELO rating)
7% chance
What organization will have the highest ELO score in the LMSYS Org Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of Dec, 2024?
Which organization will have the top model on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?
Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2025?
12% chance