Will any Waymo driverless vehicle be involved in a serious accident in 2024?
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Ṁ1332
Jan 1
36%
chance

This market resolves to YES if an event occurs involving an autonomous Waymo vehicle that results in loss of life, a totaled vehicle, or sufficient harm to require hospitalization (human victim).

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bought Ṁ10 YES

Freeway accident below. I think no one was injured but definitely damage looks extensive.

https://abc7.com/videoClip/14808699/

They've massively scaled up service in SF, more miles means more chances to be hit by other cars.

https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/waymo-service-driverless-robotaxi-19386537.php

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A serious crash "involving" a Waymo (likely not at fault) with hospitalization is very likely.

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