Will there be a Waymo skit on SNL in 2025? | Manifold

Will there be a Waymo skit on SNL in 2025?

Plus

99

Ṁ14k

2026

13%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This is Casey's medium-confidence prediction from the 1/3/15 episode of the "Hard Fork" podcast.

Market will resolve to yes if Waymo features in a Saturday Night Live skit in 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to no.

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Hard Forkcasts 2025

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bought Ṁ200 NO

Only a small portion or culturally significant things will get a dedicated SNL skit in 2025, so even if Waymo gets significant enough, I think there’s no more than 30% chance it makes it in the show.

bought Ṁ50 NO

Specifically a skit, so a joke on weekend update wouldn't count, right?

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