Will Apple release its own LLM on par with state of the art LLMs before 2026?
Basic
4
Ṁ1432025
49%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES iff an LLM from Apple is at any point in the top 5 in the Chatbot Arena (https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard) before 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Apple launch an LLM product in 2024?
87% chance
Which company will have the best LLM by the end of 2024?
Will someone release a crypto-LLM by 2025?
66% chance
Will Apple embed an LLM in any of their products by the end of 2024?
90% chance
Will Apple release a MacBook with LLM integration built in, by 2025 end?
75% chance
Will a publicly-available LLM achieve gold on IMO before 2026?
37% chance
Who will be ahead in the AI/LLM war by the end of 2024?
Will the most advanced LLM stop being from a US-based company any time before 2030?
31% chance
At the end of 2024, what type of LLM prompt will be the most popularized?
Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026?
58% chance