Will there be a state-of-the-art LLM that is NOT based on next raw token prediction before 2029?
Basic
0
2029
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Which next-gen frontier LLMs will be released before GPT-5? (2025)
What will be true of Anthropic's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Will Apple release its own LLM on par with state of the art LLMs before 2026?
3% chance
Will there be major breakthrough in LLM Continual Learning before 2026?
40% chance
Will someone release a crypto-LLM by 2025?
66% chance
Will the most advanced LLM stop being from a US-based company any time before 2030?
31% chance
Will any widely used LLM be pre-trained with abstract synthetic data before 2030?
72% chance
What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?
67% chance
Will the next major LLM by OpenAI use a new tokenizer?
77% chance