Will a Manhattan/ Apollo type project towards AGI/ ASI be launched? (or has been)
Plus
15
Ṁ7352100
53%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
if you care about the description, write it yourself in the comments and I'll probably take it
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
How about the following conditions:
US government
Classified government program
Unaffiliated with an AI company (this feels important, but also difficult to pin down)
Before 2024, began training its own distinct LLM model that is no more than 1 year behind SOTA on general intelligence benchmarks. (Then the title can become "has been")
Related questions
Related questions
Will a US Manhattan-like Project for AGI Be Launched In 2025?
29% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
44% chance
"Manhattan Project" for AGI before 2029?
46% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2030?
55% chance
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by Jan 1, 2030? (1000M Subsidy)
71% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
60% chance
Will AGI be achieved in the next 5 years?
42% chance
When will AGI be developed and released to the public?
Will we get AGI before a human walks on the Moon again?
34% chance