On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2025 Atlantic season storms reach?
17
Ṁ31k
Nov 30
19%
Will Fernand reach Category 1 wind speeds?
5%
Will Fernand reach Category 2 wind speeds?
4%
Will Fernand reach Category 3 wind speeds?
3%
Will Fernand reach Category 4 wind speeds?
2%
Will Fernand reach Category 5 wind speeds?
46%
Will Gabrielle reach Category 1 wind speeds?
26%
Will Gabrielle reach Category 2 wind speeds?
16%
Will Gabrielle reach Category 3 wind speeds?
11%
Will Gabrielle reach Category 4 wind speeds?
8%
Will Gabrielle reach Category 5 wind speeds?
60%
Will Humberto reach Category 1 wind speeds?
45%
Will Humberto reach Category 2 wind speeds?
40%
Will Humberto reach Category 3 wind speeds?
34%
Will Humberto reach Category 4 wind speeds?
10%
Will Humberto reach Category 5 wind speeds?
66%
Will Imelda reach Category 1 wind speeds?
50%
Will Imelda reach Category 2 wind speeds?
49%
Will Imelda reach Category 3 wind speeds?
45%
Will Imelda reach Category 4 wind speeds?
8%
Will Imelda reach Category 5 wind speeds?

Each storm/category will be considered a separate YES/NO market, resolved via reporting from https://weather.com/.

Markets will resolve YES within 48 hours of the reported Category upgrade. Markets will resolve NO within 48 hours of the reported dissipation of a named storm or on November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM EST, whichever comes first.

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bought Ṁ846 YES

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCUAT5+shtml/161520.shtml
...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND ERIN IS NOW A CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...

Dexter never became a hurricane so can also resolve.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/
@ovals

Still waiting for Dexter to wind down as Erin becomes a Category 1

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/hurricane-erin-track-path/

bought Ṁ150 NO

All the Andrea options can resolve NO.

Can you please tag the 2025 hurricane season?

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