Resolution criteria
A government shutdown occurs when federal agencies must discontinue all non-essential discretionary functions until new funding legislation is passed and signed into law. This market resolves YES if a shutdown meeting this definition occurs at any point between now and December 31, 2026. Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) or Congress confirming a lapse in appropriations. The market resolves NO if the government remains continuously funded through the end of 2026 via appropriations bills or continuing resolutions.
Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market was created during a shutdown that has since ended. That initial shutdown does not count toward resolution. This market resolves YES only if another shutdown occurs between now and December 31, 2026.
1,000
3.00@orangeee this market was created during a shutdown, do you mean another one before eoy? otherwise it seems like it should resolve yes
@realDonaldTrump yes, another one, not counting the current shutdown that just ended. Should have clarified but the intention was on whether there would be another one