Gemini 3 releases before Deepseek V4?
14
Ṁ959Dec 31
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if the next major Gemini version comes out before the next major Deepseek version. These are expected to be called Gemini 3 and Deepseek v4 respectively.
Major version = new base model, usually accompanied by architectural changes and an increase in the integer part of the model version (e.g. 2.5->3 or 3.1->4).
If R2 comes out before V4 I’ll count that as the next major Deepseek version.
If either company changes the naming scheme I’ll make a call based on the paper, model card, blog post, and other available info.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Gemini 3.0 released before October 31?
34% chance
Gemini 3.0 released by October 15?
2% chance
When will Google release Gemini 3?
Gemini 3 releases October 22?
19% chance
Gemini 3.0 released before November 15?
59% chance
Google announces Gemini 3.0 by Oct 19, 2025?
13% chance
Gemini 3.0 released before November 30?
74% chance
Gemini 3 by EOY?
94% chance
Google Gemini 3 Pro Release Date
-
What day of the week will Gemini 3 be released?