Will Israeli troops still be in Lebanon one year after entering? ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿช–
Basic
9
แน€162
2025
34%
chance

Resolves YES if there is an Israeli troop presence in Lebanon one year after the 2024 invasion (September 30th, 2025).

Resolves NO if Israel confirms that it has pulled all troops out of the country before then.

Get
แน€1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Small scale ground war was happening for the past year. Over 70 raids with 20-40 troops spent days inside Lebanon

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-sends-troops-into-lebanon-escalating-fight-against-hezbollah-1dbcee03

Now it is about 1000+ prepping the way for over 40k

So actually the invasion started earlier

ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTerms + Mana-only Termsโ€ขPrivacyโ€ขRules