Sora app reaches 50 billion daily views by end of 2026?
9
Ṁ14162026
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria:
This market will resolve Yes if, by the end of 2026, credible evidence shows that the Sora app has ≥50 billion Daily Views.
What counts as credible evidence (“Good Numbers”):
Data must be either:
• Released directly by OpenAI, OR
• Released by a third party with plausible access to Sora’s Daily Views data
Reliability verification:
The data will be evaluated by the three leading AI models available at the end of 2026 (best models from Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic). The data must receive a majority vote (≥2 out of 3) deeming it reliable.
N/A Resolution:
Market resolves N/A if no credible Daily Views data is released by the end of 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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