If the US government shuts down on Oct 1, will it "not reopen in its current form"?
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Ṁ662Oct 30
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She clarifies her meaning in a reply: "[The form it would reopen as would be] a more explicitly authoritarian one."
This market resolves N/A if there is no shutdown. Otherwise, this market resolves to my best assessment of whether Laura's prediction was correct. I like her writing, so I'll probably take her self-assessment (if any) into consideration, but I don't intend to defer to her absolutely.
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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