Will I touch a “2026” penny in 2026?
➕
Plus
9
Ṁ838
2027
27%
chance

This description was generated, in part, by AI.

Background

The U.S. Mint continues to produce pennies annually despite production costs (2.72 cents per penny in 2022) exceeding their face value. In 2023, over 4.5 billion pennies were produced. While there are ongoing debates about discontinuing the penny, any such change would require Congressional legislation, which has not been passed as of market creation on 9 February 2025.

On 9 February 2025, President Trump instructed the Secretary of the Treasury to halt production of the penny. Whether or not president is permitted by the US Constitution to take this action is an active debate.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if I physically hold a United States penny minted in 2026 at any point during 2026 and upload a photo of it in the comments of this market. The penny must have "2026" as its mint date.

The market will resolve NO on 1 January 2027 if I do not obtain or hold a 2026-dated penny during 2026, Pacific Time.

As of market creation in February 2025, I had not yet seen a 2025 penny in person.

I will make a good faith effort to acquire one of these pennies and upload a photo of it during 2026.

As of market creation, I lived in the United States and planned to continue for the foreseeable future.

I will not make any orders or bets in this market except for my initial YES wagers within the first 24 hours of the market.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules