Will I touch a “2025” penny in 2025?
➕
Plus
12
Ṁ1198
2026
62%
chance

This description was generated, in part, by AI.

Background

The U.S. Mint continues to produce pennies annually despite production costs (2.72 cents per penny in 2022) exceeding their face value. In 2023, over 4.5 billion pennies were produced. While there are ongoing debates about discontinuing the penny, any such change would require Congressional legislation, which has not been passed as of market creation on 9 February 2025.

On 9 February 2025, President Trump instructed the Secretary of the Treasury to halt production of the penny. Whether or not president is permitted by the US Constitution to take this action is an active debate.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if I physically hold a United States penny minted in 2025 at any point during 2025 and upload a photo of it in the comments of this market. The penny must have "2025" as its mint date.

The market will resolve NO on 1 January 2026 if I do not obtain or hold a 2025-dated penny during 2025, Pacific Time.

As of market creation, I had not yet seen a 2025 penny in person.

I will make a good faith effort to acquire one of these pennies and upload a photo of it during 2025.

As of market creation, I lived in the United States and planned to continue for the foreseeable future.

I will not make any orders or bets in this market except for my initial YES wagers within the first 24 hours of the market.

  • Update 2025-02-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Eligible Coins Clarification:

    • Legal Tender Requirement: All U.S. pennies minted in 2025 count as long as they are legal tender. This includes coins from collectible or proof sets.

    • The creator confirms that if a 2025 penny (even from a proof set) is legal tender, it qualifies for resolution.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

In Canada pressing pennies stopped in 2012, If I remember correctly what had been pressed was released then in 2013 they were pulled and no longer considered currency.

I hoarded about $50 worth, pass them off to kids, so they can see we used to have them.

Think still have a good $40 left.

I also have 1 American $2 bill.

filled a Ṁ5 NO at 58% order

If you do, might want to hold on to it

Would you include proofs/collectibles or circulation coins only? There’s a proof set that includes pennies set to release on March 4

@GleamingRhino If those are legal tender, then I would say, yes, they count. That being said, I don’t know any coin collectors or have any intention to buy a set myself, so it’s highly unlikely I would encounter any of those enough that I could handle one.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules