Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2026?
Plus
36
Ṁ45kJan 2
1.5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It's like @QuantumObserver 's market, except it goes for one year further.
https://manifold.markets/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre?r=amlt
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@Bayesian I will try to resolve in line with Quantum Observer's market description. if there's any dispute I will ask him for help.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?
1% chance
Is there a temperature and pressure at which LK-99 is superconducting?
3% chance
[100x Fine] Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?
95
Will a paper on room temp, ambient pressure Rationalussy superconductivity be released before 2025?
43% chance
Conditional on any room-temp superconductor being replicated before 2025, will the main LK-99 market resolve YES?
33% chance
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print ever get replicated?
13% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?
56% chance
Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room temp superconductivity in LK-99?
2% chance
Will a room-temperature superconductor with a similar-but-different composition to LK-99 be discovered by 2025?
1% chance
Will a room-temperature, ambient-pressure superconductor (LK-99, or other) be discovered before 2025?
1% chance