Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print ever get replicated?

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I don’t see a market asking if this paper will ever be successfully replicated, so I created one

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Under what circumstances would this market resolve NO?

@NcyRocks It won’t. It could only resolve Yes if the paper get successfully replicated

@AmmonLam That's not how this should work - betting NO is completely pointless.

@ProjectVictory Wait under you hear about the permanent stock market on Manifold

@AmmonLam stock is permanent both ways, it's pointless, but balanced. This can only resolve Yes and therefore doesn't represent the real probability of title question.

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