Will the first AGI build on some novel aspect of the Q* 'breakthrough' that reportedly contributed to the Altman firing?
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Resolves to, uh, consensus of machine learning experts when the first AGI is known
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I think this is pretty likely. inference-time compute will be used a lot in the SOTA models
however they'll almost certainly never confirm that o1 comes out of the Q* developments so will the o1 tech count for the purpose of this market or no?
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