Was Rudy Giuliani selling pardons with Trump? YES/NO based on my credence in two years (can resolve early)
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11
Ṁ234
2025
42%
chance

From now on, whenever I see an "EXPLOSIVE" political tweet on twitter, I'll make a manifold market on it. I'll check back in two years- and see if there's clear evidence (imo) it's substantiated, or clear evidence (imo) it was wrong or very overstated. former resolves YES, latter resolves NO, if I can't come to a conclusion either way or there's no evidence either way resolves N/A.

If it's very clear to me, I may resolve this early.

The tweet: https://twitter.com/KeithOlbermann/status/1658201258656759809

BREAKING: sexual abuse suit against Rudy Giuliani includes bombshell allegation Giuliani told alleged victim he was "SELLING PARDONS" for $2,000,000 each "which he and Trump would split" AND SHE HAS RECORDINGS AND EMAILS

A YES resolution could involve Rudy selling pardons to any individual.

background: I have no particular partisan affliation in regards to this news cycle stuff, and find all varieties of it to be tedious, even when they turn out to be true.

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bought Ṁ50 NO

sounds 95% fake but impossible to prove fake

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