If elected in 2024 will Trump issue more than 50 years in total in January 6th related pardons?
Basic
4
Ṁ1122028
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves by the sum of remaining prison time of people he pardons.
Resolves N/A if he is not elected.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump serve any prison time before 2026?
3% chance
Wil Trump pardon political violence that occurs during his second term?
68% chance
Will Trump pardon 50+ January 6 rioters before EOY 2025?
99% chance
Will Trump pardon more people during his second term than any president during a single term in history?
40% chance
Will Donald Trump be pardoned before 2027?
31% chance
If Donald Trump wins the election, will he serve time in 2025?
1% chance
If Trump is elected, will he attempt to pardon himself?
50% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will Trump Pardon Snowden by the end of 2025?
35% chance
Will Trump pardon himself over the course of his second term?
45% chance