What country will the new Pope visit first?
7
Ṁ810resolved Apr 23
ResolvedN/A
4%
Germany
4%
Spain
4%
Ukraine
4%
Argentina
51%
Italy
33%Other
This will resolve to the country of the first international pastoral visit of the new Pope.
Update 2025-04-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important Clarification:
Italy is not considered an international destination for the purposes of this market.
The resolution will be based solely on the first pastoral visit to a country outside of Italy.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
@spiderduckpig
@arbitrary oh damn i forgot to mention that, but when talking about papal international visit, Italy doesn't count as international. I'll open new market, sorry about that.
@arbitrary oh fuck i forgot to mention that, but when talking about papal international visit, Italy doesn't count as international. I'll open new market, sorry about that.
Related questions
Related questions
What country will the new Pope visit first?
What country will the new Pope visit second?
Depending on who the next Pope is, will he be based?
Will the next pope be based?
12% chance
On which continent will the next Pope to be born (meaning, as yet unborn) be born?
Will the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2025?
34% chance
Will the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2026?
46% chance
Which of the following papacy-related events will occur first?
Will the new pope reside in the Apostolic Palace ?
78% chance
Which country will the next Pope following Robert Prevost be from?