Will there be a ban on distribution of deepfakes of public persons in the US by the end of 2025? | Manifold

Will there be a ban on distribution of deepfakes of public persons in the US by the end of 2025?

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Resolves as YES if by the end of 2025 there’s a law in the US that prohibits distributing (e.g. selling or posting on the internet) of AI generated deepfakes of publicly known person or group of people.

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#️ Technology

#‍ Celebrities

#Internet Censorship

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IMO there’s less than 10% chance such a ban stands up to judicial challenges

Where does a mandatory watermarking law sit?

What happens if a law is passed in specific contexts? Eg penalty for using it for revenge porn/sexual harassment?

What happens if there’s legal consensus that the law won’t survive constitutional review?

https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/4431883-white-house-alarmed-by-fake-ai-taylor-swift-photos/

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Will a deepfake impersonating a White House official lead to a military incident involving US troops by October 7, 2025?

Will the US Federal Government make it illegal to share deepfake nudes before 2026?

US Congress bans AI political deepfakes before October 27, 2025?

Will TikTok be banned in the US by the end of 2025?

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Will TikTok be banned in the US at the end of 2025?

Will the US ban AI models produced in China in 2025?

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