Resolves to the user who wins FOLDED. The winner resolves YES and the losers resolve NO. If multiple users win, all winning options will resolve YES. If no one wins, (game is cancelled, etc.) all options resolve NO. Players who are eliminated will resolve NO as they are removed from the game.
1,000
3.00@koadma honestly it would make the most sense for you to take this so that you're guaranteed to either make money from the market or win the game
@SimonWestlake btw, i think you are overestimating my win chances. When I bought my YES shares, I thought the game will have higher difficulty platforming with which I might have had an edge compared to others.
Without failstates I estimate that at least a Celeste/Core level difficulty would be needed for others to give up. However, the game turned out to be easy wrt platformer skills (and seems to get easier and easier, eg low hp worm even though the original was already trivial) and leans more on puzzles, and unfortunately, I'm not good at those and would have probably failed already at the playfair one without cheesing..
Hecko, Adaury, and AndrewG are dead.
https://manifold.markets/Bandors/will-anyone-be-eliminated-from-fold#lymli54cnsp
If anyone wants to make higher-liquidity bets on me in particular (or arb) https://manifold.markets/retr0id/will-i-win-the-folded-grand-prize
@100Anonymous 1000 would be plenty if the options were linked instead of being 20 indedpendent sub-markets with 50 each.
@SimonWestlake It ends up being the same amount of liquidity so long as you bet NO on other options after buying YES on one
@evan it is manipulable (i.e. someone can bet no here and not check in on folded thus making ranked profit for leagues. Making it unranked would cause it to have no benefit.