On which days will a player be eliminated from FOLDED?

Ṁ11k

Aug 25

13%

Day 36 (24 August 2025)

13%

Day 37 (25 August 2025)

13%

Day 38 (26 August 2025)

13%

Day 39 (27 August 2025)

13%

Day 40 (28 August 2025)

13%

Day 41 (29 August 2025)

13%

Day 42 (30 August 2025)

13%

Day 43 (31 August 2025)

13%

Day 44 (1 September 2025)

13%

Day 45 (2 September 2025)

13%

Day 46 (3 September 2025)

13%

Day 47 (4 September 2025)

13%

Day 48 (5 September 2025)

13%

Day 49 (6 September 2025)

13%

Day 50 (7 September 2025)

13%

Day 51 (8 September 2025)

13%

Day 52 (9 September 2025)

13%

Day 53 (10 September 2025)

13%

Day 54 (11 September 2025)

13%

Day 55 (12 September 2025)

For each option:
Resolves YES if at least one player fails to advance from the listed day of FOLDED. If no one is eliminated that day, resolves NO. If FOLDED ends before the listed day, it also resolves NO.

I will periodically add days to this market if the experiment continues for long enough.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Fun

#Manifold

#Manifold Users

#Manifold User Retention

#Endurance Sports

#FOLDED

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12 Comments

24 Holders

519 Trades

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sold Ṁ1 YES

@koadma

bought Ṁ100 NO

@SimonWestlake lol i was just pasting my screenshot :D

boughtṀ10 NO

@Kraalnaxx Well this was ironic :(

@SimonWestlake Want to talk in DMs?

what if someone on a day gets eliminated but voted back in???

@evan

@121 Hmm, I'm not sure. Will think about this

@121 I'm counting it.

bought Ṁ50 YES

@evan I think that's the right call since you literally couldn't check in for a day

@evan Everyone has checked in today

sold Ṁ0 YES

@SimonWestlake unfortunate, another day wasted without any progress

no one will be eliminated if the difficulty is not ramped up.

@evan Everyone's checked in today (except for Bandors who has never checked in and isn't a real player).

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