When will the 10-year (US) Treasury yield reach 5 per cent?
5
Ṁ812026
16%
June 29 - Sep 30 (2025)
14%
Oct 1 - Dec 31 (2025)
26%
Jan 1 - June 30 (2026)
44%
July 1, 2026 or after, or never
"US Treasury yields, which usually fall in times of market volatility, rose in early April [2025]. While the benchmark 10-year yield has since fallen to about 4.3 per cent, many economists polled believe it could soon hit 5 per cent - a level that would spark concern within the Trump administration"-FT
Update 2025-07-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the date the 10-year US Treasury yield first reaches or exceeds 5%.
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