Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 12/31/2025 be 4% or higher?
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Using the closing price on Dec 31st, 2025 reported by CNBC here: https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y
If it is 4% or greater, this market resolves as YES
Otherwise it resolves to NO
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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