Will Russia annex either Abkhazia or South Ossetia before 2030?
Plus
17
Ṁ4292030
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Abkhazia and South Ossetia are two partially recognized states that have been occupied by Russian forces since the Russo-Georgian War of 2008.
Will Russia annex either Abkhazia or South Ossetia before 2030?
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
@mattyb This question is not conditional. If Russia annexes either Abkhazia or South Ossetia before 2030, under Putin or any other leader, it resolves YES, otherwise resolves NO 1 Jan 2030.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?
19% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2030?
26% chance
Will Russia attack NATO before 2034?
24% chance
Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before 2030?
13% chance
Will Russia annex Belarus until 2030?
22% chance
Will Russia completely annex Ukraine by end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
47% chance
Will there be a second Russia-Georgia war by 2030?
23% chance
Will Transnistria be annexed by Russia until EOY 2025?
10% chance
Will China annex any portion of Russia/Siberia by 2035?
20% chance