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Will any other research team find obelisks before 2030?
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Ṁ1902030
91%
chance
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A January 2024 preprint describes the existence of viroids known as obelisks: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10827157/
This question will resolve when any preprint or peer reviewed paper NOT involving any of the original researchers also finds obelisks, or on 1 January 2030, whichever is sooner.
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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